World Cup Soccer: New Zealand 1 Slovakia 1

The highlight of the day and upset of the tournament so far, New Zealand scored a goal for the first time ever and showed that Oceania has a place in the World Cup.

Why Nate Silver's World Cup model is doing so badly

Quick thoughts, but Nate Silver's world cup statistical model is doing badly for several reasons.

1) Soccer is not baseball. It does not have repeated activities that are easy to measure statstically.

2) The World Cup delivers little data. Teams perform differently in the finals than in qualification. Those such as the USA that face poor quality opposition get ranked too high. Others get ranked too low.

3) The Africa factor. The African teams are underfunded compared to, for example, Japan, and therefore naturally perform less well than better funded teams. England's coach makes $9 million per year. The US coach makes $500,000. African coaches make less, and also may have a shorter tenure.

4) A low scoring game can have unpredictable results -- especially in games decided by a red card or penalty kick (or even a free kick).

World Cup Soccer: Great Websites for US Viewers

The ESPN / ABC TV schedule is here (I have it in EST).

This excellent diagram (h/t Glenn Strachan) provides several ways to slice and dice world cup data.

The official site of the world cup finals is here, and the qualifiers are here. Both are large sites with a lot of data, but you have to dig to find it.

Italy 1 Paraguay 1

Italy played the usual boring catenaccio. Paraguay, the number 2 team out of South America, played a far more timid game than I expected, but this bullet to the head is the likely reason.

Italy substituted their superstar goalie out of the game. I wonder how it will effect his confidence. The press was told he had a hamstring injury, but I suspect vicious Italian pique ("I have no intention of paying a salary to someone who has ruined Italian soccer").

World Cup: Japan 1 Cameroon 0

Sometimes, African teams choke on the world stage. This was sad to watch, but the Japanese played very well.

World Cup: Netherlands 2 Denmark 0

A strange game. No total football was played by either team. I hope these teams play harder in the future. I had expected a 4-3 win for Holland.

World Cup: Serbia 0 Ghana 1

Serbia played better than I expected them to and Ghana played worse. This game was decided by a penalty kick and a red card. I hope both teams do better in subsequent games.

World Cup: Germany 4 Australia 0

Australia is much worse without Kewell, who is very much like Michael Owen, but I expected more from them. They were brilliant in the last world cup and lost only to Italian cheating.

Germany played a perfect game, but one astute commentator noted that Argentina had a perfect game in the first round in the last world cup and did not win it. Germany's next game is very important and will show whether that perfection lasted only one game.

World Cup: England 1 USA 1

England scored both goals; USA happy with the result. But I expected more from both teams. Sloppy play from everyone but Gerrard, and Gerrard was playing solo too much. The English need better teamwork, and the Americans need better individual performances. Howard is a superstar. I hope he moves to Liverpool FC.

World Cup: Argentina 1 Nigeria 0

I felt bad for Nigeria, a team that has played beautiful soccer in previous world cups. I also expected more from Argentina.

World Cup: France 0 Uruguay 0

As expected, the Euros played boring and defensive soccer. Uruguay, one of the lower ranked South American countries, has potential but little confidence.

World Cup: South Africa 1 Mexico 1

This was a fun game with two good goals and a good lesson on the offsides rule. I think the offsides rule should be changed to "one player other than the goalie between the ball and the net".

The Return of the Defensive D

It's not the end of the goalie era.

Instead, it's the return of defense. Mike Green is out. Chris Pronger is in. Zdeno Chara is in.

Next year, expect playoff hopefuls to look for a Scott Stevens (not an Ilya Kovalchuk).

Craig Rivet and their fellow defensive defensemen deserve more praise than they have received. Eaton in PIT deserves praise too.

I expect the value of the truly forceful D man to rise at the end of the year.

Congrats to Yahoo for Calling Out the Blind Refs

Kudos for this blog post.

Joe Pavelski for Conn Smythe

Pavelski tonight scored the first goal and the GWG in a 4-3 victory over the Red Wings.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/boxscore?gid=2010042918

Pavelski's doing very, very well, standing out on a team with Heatley and Thornton

http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/boxscore?gid=2010042918

He has playoff goals 6 and 7 tonight.

First Lawsuit Against a League For Head Trauma

Keep an eye on this one:

California’s workers’ compensation system provides a unique, and relatively unknown, haven for retired professional athletes among the 50 states, allowing hundreds of long-retired veterans each year to file claims for injuries sustained decades before. Players need not have played for California teams or be residents of the state; they had to participate in just one game in the state to be eligible to receive lifetime medical care for their injuries from the teams and their insurance carriers.

About 700 former N.F.L. players are pursuing cases in California, according to state records, with most of them in line to receive routine lump-sum settlements of about $100,000 to $200,000. This virtual assembly line has until now focused on orthopedic injuries, with torn shoulders and ravaged knees obvious casualties of the players’ former workplace.

But Dr. Perfetto’s contention that Mr. Wenzel’s dementia relates to his football employment represents a significant shift, several lawyers involved in the California system said. They estimated the case’s potential value at more than $1 million if it reaches its conclusion, probably in two or three years.

I Believe the Capitals Will Win At Least One Round

But in addition to the concerns voiced by Umberger, I would add that they actually play too rough and will take too many injuries or suspensions in early rounds.

This is doubly true if they meet Philadelphia early on. I think anyone _could_ beat Philadelphia in round 1, but the physical cost might be so high that they would lose in the next round to any opponent.

Will TV Cash Bring NHL To Russian Olympics?

NHL Commissioner Bettman is making foolish promises to NHL owners about future TV deals. Problem is, he has no credibility.

Bettman now says that the Olympics will bring in more fans, but last month he said he wasn't sure the NHL would let its players go to Russia in 2014.

Bettman needs to do what's good for the sport:

1) Implement a real head shot rule and start calling the Intent to Injure 5 minute major.

2) Implement a short season in 2014 in order to make the Olympics possible and in order to not break players' health. A 60 game season would work.

3) Cut the season anyway to 72 games or less. With 4 groups of 8 teams and no cross conference play, you get 7 x 6 + 8 x 4 = 74 games at most. With cross conference play, you get 7 x 4 + 8 x 2 + 16 x 1 = 60 games.

League Will Be Responsible If It Ignores the Players

The NHL Players Association wants a very stict rule about headshots.

The NHL (Bettman) disagrees. He won't act until a player dies or until Crosby has his career-ending consussion.

Now Suspend Him

The fine print says that Ovechkin doesn't get an automatic suspension, but the NHL is going to be serious about enforcing the rules on star players not named Pronger (see flowchart, h/t Max), then Ovechkin had to be suspended, or we'll see more of this.

One difference about this boarding game misconduct -- it wasn't against a Buffalo player. In the past, Ovechkin boarded Briere and Kaleta, both while they played for the Sabres.

Fans Will Demand the NHL Support The Olympics

The biggest problem with not participating in the Russian Olympics in 2014, as Bettman and Burke hope to, is that the NHL may never be able to return to the Olympics.

Of course, Bettman is intent on running the sport into the ground and bankrupting the league in the name of the short-term demands of owners and general managers, but anyone who cares about the long term future of the sport would set aside time for participation.

All the league has to do is run a shorter year, perhaps 4 division games + 2 conference games + 1 cross-conference game = 20 + 20 + 15 games = 55 games instead of 81 games.

Perhaps Bettman is upset that the Olympics are upstaging him -- they will have higher TV rankings than any hockey game he's associated with this year.

Suspend OKT from the Olympics permanently

This dirty headshot by Flyers defenseman Ole Kristian Tollefson should draw a ban from the next Olympics, in my opnion.

Crappy Olympics Broadcasts

The quality of the broadcast feed from the Olympics is shocking. There are stutters and lossed data. It's as bad or even worse than what we'd get if we were watching it over the internet.

I cannot understand why the olympics and the NHL would let this happen. If this continues during the Czech - Russia and USA - Canada games on Sunday, maybe some of the professional commentators will be forced to mention it.


Also, I think there should be a mercy rule. When one team is 10 goals ahead, the game is over. Let's institute it in the NHL too.

Gorges Hit By Slapshot, But Still Lucky

Montreal Defenceman Josh Gorges was hit by a slapshot but luckily was able to walk off the ice with assistance.

Can we do anything to prevent this?

Swedish Referee Dies During Game

A 62 year old referee in Sweden died while refereeing a game for 18 year old when he was hit on the back of the head by a puck.

I hope that North American referees are protected.

Selanne Returned Too Soon

This is one of the most unpleasant hockey videos I've ever seen.

He suffered a broken jaw on January 13. He returned to the ice on February 1.

That's wrong -- even for a player who is about to retire.

Sports medicine is bad.

Will the NHL Crack Down on Cornier?

When an 18 year old player goes into convulsions and the Premier of Quebec complains about it, maybe the NHL will do something.

NFL Concussion Story Just Won't Die

Kudos to the NY Times for keeping on the story. John Conyers recently questioned the NFL's concussion expert on the subject.

The NHL should get ready for this. The NHL needs to take concussions seriously.


For example, Phaneuf should have been suspended for the hit on Kopitar even though Kopitar was not hurt.

NHL Must Do Better on Concussions

The NFL has been making news by finally admitting it has a concussion problem. Now new research will shine the same spotlight on the NHL.

The New York Times today reported that researchers found that the corpse of fistfighter Reggie Fleming died in part from a neurogenetive disease caused by head trauma.

The news comes as nifty Congressman John Conyers held another hearing on head injuries in football.

In both sports, the ones who pay the nastiest price are the under-21 youth. Both leagues must act now out of common decency -- and to avoid overwhelming liability in the future.

Bring Back the Ties

I commented on this blog here.

I agree with Puck Daddy that the shootout is a cynical sideshow:

Comedy aside, the key phrase: "entertainment option." Which is what the shootout is, of course: A sideshow rather than an equitable and effective way to determine the winner of a professional team game. Hence the outrage.

Homophobia Has No Place in Hockey

Cheers to Brian Burke's son Brendan for stepping out of the closet.

Part of what I like in hockey is the diversity of nationalities represented. I am also upset when I hear that some people are discouraged from talking their native language.

Did NFL Concussion Experts Quit or Were They Fired?

The New York Times has a carefully written article that says that controversial head injury experts quit after extensive criticism of their lack of concern about head injuries.

The article says that Dr. Ira Casson and Dr. David Viano were members of the committee since 1994 and co-chairmen since 2007. The firing or quitting was announced on Tuesday and earlier, on Sunday, the NFL said it will work with the NFL Players' Association (NFLPA) to identify independent neurologists to say whether or not players are fit to play.

I am glad that the NFL is taking the first steps in addressing sport medicine, where doctors are encouraged to get players back on the field at the expense of their long term health.

I hope that the NHL will follow their example -- but first the NHL Players' Association (NHLPLA) will have to clean itself up.

FIFA Should Ban France's Gallas For World Cup Cheat

The Frenchman put the put in the back of the net by using his hand, winning the game for France over Ireland in a very controversial game.

FIFA should respond by letting the result stand but banning Galas from World Cup 2010.

Shrink the league!

THN's Ryan Kennedy makes a very good case.

I would add this -- go to 78 games:

Two groups of 7 teams in each conference

6 teams x 6 games = 36

7 teams x 4 games = 28

14 teams x 1 game (cross conference) = 14 games

Total: 78 games.

Phoenix and one other team would go (Isles?).

Young Defencemen on the Rise

Great article here.

I would highlight Yandle and Myers as players who will excel.

Another Head Shot, Another Test for the NHL

This time it was Andrew Ladd, ejected three minutes into the game for a head shot on D'Agostini. Ladd should be suspended -- but Richards should be too.

NHL Fails the Mike Richards Test

Mike Richards clearly intended to injure David Booth (17 second video) and although he got 5 minutes for intent to injure and thrown out of the game, he was not suspended for that act.

Today, RotoWire.com commentator Janet Eagleson (available on Yahoo).

She wrote, "there’s a huge difference between a good, hard check in the heat of the action and a headshot when the opponent’s guard is down."

She's write, and the NHL needs to do something about it.

Does the NFL Think the Concussion Problem Will Go Away?

The NY Times is not dropping the story.

The NHL should be proactive on this issue and not wait until it gets shamed into action.

NFL Still In Denial About Concussion Problem

Great story today in The NY Times.

The Quiet Defencemen

Which D is best for you depends on the fantasy system you're playing, but it's clear that some D are excellent but ignored. The ESPN rankings are useful for anyone playing ESPN's system, but more useful are the projections over at CBS.

Wideman, Keith, Edler, Visnovsky, Enstrom, Bogosian, and Martin all deserve a look, if they're available in your league.

That's especially true if you have a roster spot open due to injury (Gonchar) or due to a player not working well with his coach (Roszival).

I'm betting on Marc Andre Bergeron to do well in MON. I drop Carlo Colaiacovo for him -- and the STL D is also a good bet.

Note that +/- is a key stat, so try to pick D who play for winning teams -- the strong exceptions being Jovanovski and Streit.

That was a Clear slew foot

Cleary should be suspended for his attack on Kopitar

Watch NHL Center Ice

Free preview continues through next weekend! Ends Oct. 24.

A Secret Top 100 List at Yahoo.com?

No argument with who's number 1 but the ranking of the rest of the players (Chelios is #80, you'll never believe who's number 2) is quite surprising.

Any info on this?

Most of the other numbers don't make sense, but this one does.

Data Shows Head Injuries Harm NFL Players

The data is in, according to The New York Times, which reported today on a of the health of NFL players found that among those aged 30 to 49, the incidence of "dementia, Alzheimer’s disease, or other memory-related disease" is 19 times the national average, at 1.9 percent. Among those over 60, the rate was over 6 percent.

The study, conducted by University of Michigan Institute of Social Research covered 1,063 retired players in 2008. It should be taken seriously, especially by those running programs in high schools and colleges where kids often play through injuries and pay a permanent cost for it.

The Times article concludes:

"The league insisted that it was doing so only because the disease “affects many elderly people” well beyond N.F.L. players. And a pamphlet that the league gives every player about concussion risks states, 'Research is currently under way to determine if there are any long-term effects of concussion in N.F.L. athletes.'

'It's time to edit that brochure,' said Kevin Mawae of the Tennessee Titans, the president of the N.F.L. Players Association. 'Now it's in their words and not just other people's.'"

Notes About Lines

How ever good a player is, they won't have much of an impact unless they get more than 10 minutes a night or their name is Radulov.

Since Radulov's in Russia, I strongly recommend this excellent article from NHL.com about line combinations.

In ATLANTA, it's all about who gets to play with Kovalchuk, the guy who once scored six in a youth all star game. Right now, that looks like Antropov plus somebody else.

In BOSTON, it's about who gets to play with Savard, who put up a somewhat quiet 88 points in 82 games last year. Right now, the only person with a guaranteed spot on that line in Lucic.

Okposo's Concussion

The CBS Fantasy Hockey website has a great player news feature that today has disturbing information: Okposo was concussed by Dion Phaneuf during a game in Calgary yesterday.

I think this should take Okposo off your draft list -- and I hope that Okposo gets time to rest and heal.

I especially hope that Okposo doesn't play in the next Islanders game.

The NHL needs to take concussions seriously.

Brassard is for real

Derick Brassard was doing better than a point per game for the Columbus Blue Jackets when he got into a fight and sustained a shoulder injury that ended his season.

With a new contract worth $12.8 million over 4 years, Brassard's coach has to put him in a position to score. Expect much from him this year.

Canucks Sign Schneider and Acquire Ehrhoff -- Will Luongo Be Even Better?

The Vancouver Canucks signed Mattheu Schneider and acquired Ehrhoff and Lukowich from the San Jose Sharks.

This increases the value of Boyle and Blake back in San Jose and also increases the value of Canucks goalie Luongo. The effect of the addition of the defensemen on Canucks youth powerhouse Bieksa.

Opinion: Offer Theo Fleury a Two-Way Contract

The news says that Theo Fleury, now 41 and sober after the intervention of the NHL and AA, wants to play again, but managers seem unlikely to want to sign him.

Here's my recommendation: offer him a contract that could send him to the minor leagues. Ask him if he's coming back for the millions or for the hockey. I think he wants to play hockey.

If that seems unfair for a hero who overcame much including a sliced artery at age 13, then offer him a three-way contract that also pays him to coach.

The only problem with the latter idea is that the NHLPA might not allow it. Does anyone know if such a contract is allowed under the CBA?

Suspend Walker

The NHL must stand up to a sucker punch to the eye that fractured an orbital bone.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/blog/puck_daddy/post/Sunday-s-Three-Stars-Chara-Zetterberg-shine-in;_ylt=Ah83akGvM3gldxh6T3SsA0d_ppJ4?urn=nhl,162445

Let's ban head shots

http://sports.espn.go.com/nhl/news/story?id=3965246

Please

Now

Never too soon

A Three Conference Proposal

Brian Costello at THN wants to expand the playoffs to 20 teams so that Crosby can be there. As much as I like Sidney the Kidney, I think that the Penguins must not make the playoffs if they don't win enough games.

However, I do think that a three conference system would work well.

Here are my three conferences (feel free to suggest others): Northeast, West, and South. Each has 10 teams:

South

Carolina, Atlanta, Florida, Tampa Bay, Nashville, Dallas -- definte

Possible: St. Louis, Columbus, Phoenix, and Washington

Northeast

Montreal, Ottawa, Toronto, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Buffalo, Boston, NY, NYI, NJ

West

Detroit, Chicago, Colorado, Minnesota, Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver, San Jose, Anaheim, Los Angeles


Playoff system:

Two possibilities: each conference winner ranked 1 2 3, followed by the remaining teams from any conference to 16.

Top 2, 3, or 4 teams in each conference make the playoffs. As long as there are matchups within a conference then teams match up within conference.

Examples:

If in round one, the three conferences provide 4 4 and 8 teams, round 2 they provide 2 2 and 4 teams in round three they provide 1 1 and 2 teams, and then the conference final is the winner of the deepest conference vs. the winner of the other playoff series.


In gets more complex if the three conferences provide 5 5 and 6 teams. The fifth ranked teams of two conferences play each other. In round 2, the conferences provide 3 2 and 3 teams. Again, the third ranked teams from two conferences play each other. In round 3, the conferences provide 2 1 and 1 teams, so then we're back at the situation above?).


Note that you could argue that giving the last placed team an opponent who is another last placed team benefits those last place teams. So you might, instead, pit the middle teams against each other. In the case of two conferences providing 5 teams each, each conference's third ranked team would play off against each other. In the case of two conferences with 3 teams each, the second ranked teams would play off against each other.

Change the number of games played in a season

This may be a counterintuitive playoff system but the three conferences provide a clean path to either 76 games or 84 games.

I would advocate 76 games: each team plays 4 games against the 9 other teams in conference, and 2 games against each of the other 20 teams.

You could get to 84 games this way: Each conference does break down neatly into two divisions, however, so you could have each team play 6 games against the four teams in its division, 4 games against each of the four teams in the same conference but a different division, and 2 games against each of the other 20 teams.

Miller!

Miller's injury opens up the lead goalie spot for Lalime -- temporarily. But pundits are already thinking trade.

The Sporting News' Slover says the Sabres should look to New Jersey, but really the team is looking for someone to take an underperforming forward, Afinogenov, in exchange for a good goalie. The pundits say Edmonton and the Rangers have poor managers, so the Sabres could try to get Valiquette or Roloson.

Roloson is an interesting prospect because he played in Buffalo before.

But would Edmonton take Afinogenov for him? Maybe if there were the added insurance of a conditional draft pick. Then there's the question of whether the Sabres want to do a deal with the team that tried to poach Vanek.

If the Sabres are smart, they'll offer little and go with Lalime.

I think Miller will be back for the playoffs, but not before.

Iginla's points

Iginla has 59 points in less than 55 points. Here's the odd part: he has been pointless in 20 of those 55 games.

He's well worth playing in fantasy hockey, but because of the erratic scoring, he might actually be available for trade.

Two College Hockey Players Deserve Jail Time, Get 1 Year Suspensions

The video is tough to watch. The consequences are severe but not severe enough.

I hope that the NHL cracks down on intent to injure, but at the moment, the worst stuff is happening in the minors and below. Early this year, Don Sanderson died after a fight. Just a few weeks later, Garrett Klotz, age 20, left the ice on a stretcher, having had a seizure after a fight.

NHL owners should be ashamed about head shots, but they aren't. Bloggers keep calling for change, but there is none. There should be a debate, but there is none.

This blog is called Crosby's Concussion because there will no change until a marquee player dies. Plenty have left the game early from concussions (Lindros, LaFontaine). The NHL has made it clear that nothing short of death will bring change, and thereby is guaranteeing that a player will die.

College hockey players take the NHL as their model. The two Michigan State players deliberately assaulted a player, Steve Kampfer, who had already been assaulted by a member of his own college's football team (possibly for flirting with that player's girlfriend). The football player, Mike Milano, has been charged with a felony. Kampfer suffered a skull fracture and a broken vertebra but was back playing hockey that same year.

Freshman forward Andrew Conboy and sophomore forward Corey Tropp of Michigan State should face the same.

An Important Week

Especially in HTH leagues, this next week is very important. Taking a look at the schedule ahead, I'd say avoid any CHI players your league-mates have dropped because the Hawks' road trip is quite impressive, lasting several weeks, going through the toughest teams in the West that are outside the Central league.

Top of the list is Atlanta, with a nifty schedule this week. If Little, White, and Kovalchuk are not available, take a look at Bogosian (recent stats) and Peverley. Peverley has been on the top line while Little was hurt and might get demoted.

Blake is still one week away from returning, so look at other SJ defencemen who may be available. Ehrhoff has not done well of late, and Murray seems to be the one to take. Of course, if Boyle is available (he shouldn't be) take him first.

Filatov out

Quick note to say I dropped Filatov.

Other note: CHI's upcoming schedule is terrible.

Filatov!

With all those goals, I've joined the Filatov rush. If you missed it, Peca should be available in your league.

Quick game notes, Jan. 7 2009

Only one game done so far: NYR vs. Montreal.

I guess sometimes one line is hot. Tonight it was Robert Lang's. Montreal has depth and could lose forwards without losing a step. The other big news is that Montreal's two D finally produced to potential: Markov 1 G 1 A and Hamrlik 3 A.

Quick game notes, Jan. 6 2009

Defense!

Wisnewski -- 1 assist.

Coburn -- 8 shots on goal.

Zidlicky -- GWG.

Campbell -- +3


Other notes:

PIT is very streaky, but doing well tonight.

FLA vs TOR -- FLA dominates. That Weiss-Booth line is getting good.

CHI 5 goals and counting.

Nabokov losing vs. CAL, but he loses big a few times each year, and CAL is a strong opponent.

It's time for helmet rules

Hockey player death prompts helmet talk

http://sports.espn.go.com/nhl/news/story?id=3807147

A minor league player has died from injuries after hitting his head on the ice during a fight. I assume that he was unconscious when he fell and was unable to break his own fall. I've seen that happen in the NHL.

The NHL has to act but I'm not confident because the NHL isn't really concerned with blows to the head.

How to Keep Rotisserie Interesting: Multipliers

Here's how I would keep NHL Rotisserie interesting:

Split the season into two-week blocks. At the end of every two weeks, points are tallied. Each position has limits over two weeks. Goalie minimums can be enforced or not.

First week counts x1, second week x2, etc. Thus, the final month counts for about half of the competition, and nobody is out until the end.

The first few weeks are odd anyway, and fantasy managers adjust to new lineups and a new season.

But the most important point here is keeping everyone in the game.

Selanne's on IR

His injury is a clean cut and his recovery should be predictable. I've got him on IR in both the leagues I'm in, but if you're in a league where someone dropped him, especially if the league is Roti, grab him and put him on IR.

Game notes, December 23

FLA 3 NSH 0

Frolik -- 2 goals, and 9 shots, even tho the players I'd expect to see do well are Stillman, Weiss, Zednik, Horton, and Booth.


CAR 2 MIN 3

Brindamour and Whitney -- 2 points each.

Who plays on the Koivu-Gaborik line?



DAL 8 TOR 2

Cannot figure out Dallas this year, but the centers delivered in this game -- Modano, Ribiero, and Richards -- as did Lehtinen. Don't know the kids: Brunnstrom, Neal, Ott, Grossman.

For Toronto, Grabovski and Stempniak were the only +1.


TB 2 PIT 0

I suspect that PIT lost this game, rather than TB won it.


DET 4 STL 1

All Det big players clicking: Zberg, Holms, Datsuyk, Lidstrom.

Berglund the lone STL goal. I would have Berglund in deeper leagues (16 teams, instead of 12 or 6).



CLB 0 LA 3

Wish I had the goalie in this one. What's going on with the goalies in LA? Glad I had O'Sullivan in one of my leagues. If he gets more time with Kopitar -- great!

Picked up Quick -- but there are up to five goalies competing for a spot there.

Revealing comments here (h/t goaliepost.com).



OTT 4 PHI 6

As the commentators on Versus said, OTT had one line tonight (Pizza line) and PHI had two -- Richards Gagne line and the Carter Lupul Hartnell line. Maybe the Rangers will get Briere?



WAS 5 NYR 4

NYR score 4, then WAS ties it up and wins in overtime. 13 shots for Ovechkin.

Will Victor Kozlov make his mark before Fedorov returns?


ATL 4 NYI 2

ATL has one line: Little, Kozlov, Kovalchuk. The team has many good D, but none stands out. I thought that Hainsey plus Enstrom would deliver a great power play and penalty kill, but it has not happened yet.



BOS 2 NJ 0

I watched this, and it was a 1-0 game with an empty net goal. Thomas made spectacular plays that looked lucky, but he's been doing it all year and you cannot call it luck anymore.

Game notes. December 10

DET 4 CAL 3 (OT)

Phaneuf played 33 minutes in the loss, and got 2 assists.


Until now, Glencross has been the extra winger who gets points, but tonight it was David Moss in CAL's second line with 1 G 1 A.


Lidstrom got the OT GWG.

So the two defensive heroes, Phaneuf and Listrom, showed up and played well.

Keeping an eye on Holmstrom, who got only 12 minutes (1A). Cleary did better.


PIT 1 NJ 4

PIT played well. Malkin was on fire. But NJ got the goals.

Parise's goal was a backwards backhanded work of art. Parise managed an astonishing 9 SOGs. Clemmensen played well, but the D was a team effort, with every forward contributing. Only one Penguin came out positive in +/-: Matt Cooke. But Cooke's work was entirely Malkin's work.


TB 2 BUF 4

Vanek and Pominwille! A great win for Buffalo, and the team leaders, Pominville, Vanek, Roy all contributed. Stafford who has had an up and down season got the other goal. Pominville and Hecht combined on the key short handed point.

For TB, Stamkos gets another point.


BOS 1 WAS 3

Ovechkin, Semin, and Backstrom lead WAS again. Chara and Lucic appeared to have been the best for BOS, as Savard was blanked.


NYR 3 ATL 2

Well, I don't understand either of these teams, but Redden did well tonight. How do you not give him a star when he gets 3 As in a 3-2 win???


CHI 2 OTT 0

Shutout for Huet!! I dropeed him long ago. Otherwise, the star of this game in fantasy hockey was Chris Neil with 7 PIMs.


PHO 5 DAL 3

Okay, Max, Hanzal was a good pickup. I still don't know who he is. I have Yandle. I don't know who Yandle is either.

Ribiero not doing well with Morrow out.


STL ANH still ongoing.

I wanted Backes to get PIMs in this game. So far, Crombeen, with a goal and a fight, is the best fantasy player.

Game notes, Thursday Nov. 20

Chi vs. Dal

Will Turco survive this season? Time to bring in the backup.

Dustin Byf did not play tonight. Will he respond with a big game on Saturday or will he be benched again?

Versteeg is for real!


NJ vs. Fla

Clemmensen! Elias!


PIT vs. Atl

Sykora and Satan show up on the score sheet.


Van vs. Minn

Mikko Koivu, hero in a losing effort, including one SHP.

Vancouver's top line of Demitra and the Sedin twins is doing what it was supposed to do: winning games.


Cal vs. Col

Colorado cannot score! Langkow playing well on Cal's top line gets the game winner.


Det vs. Edm

Visnovsky and Souray looked strong in the loss. Hudler and Lidstrom looked good in the win. Lidstrom's 4 PIMs an extra bonus for Lidster owners.

Kronwall, Holmstrom, and Cleary were all scratched. Holmstrom had back spasms and Kronwall had an ankle problem. Only Zetterberg, Datsuyk, and Lidstrom have been reliable so far. Hossa did not show up on the score sheet but was the number three star. Why?

Mike Fisher!

Pick him up while he's on the top line between Heatley and Alfredsson

dropped wideman

and he just got an A and G today. So if he's available in your league, pick him up.



I like the SH teams of PHI and SJ. Grier, and the PHI D, and Mike Richards are good. Tonight, Crosby also has an SHP.

Keep an eye on these defencemen who may be available in your NHL fantasy league

Roszival: While the Rangers have had a wonderful start to the season, Girardi has more points and Wade Redden has more buzz (both positive and negative). But Roszival has more ice time and _if_ the Rangers continue to do well, he will get his points.

Vancouver D: Almost every player in Vancouver contributes in points, +/-, and PIMs. All are worth looking at. With Salo injured, other players will get ice time. If Bieksa, who usually gets the most PIMs, is available in your league, you should take him. Ohlund, Edler, and Mitchell are all good. Edler gets the most ice time and gets the best +/-; Ohlund has the highest potential for PIMs in a season.

Ruslan Salei is one of the nastiest defencemen in the league. As a rookie, he won his roster spot with the Mighty Ducks (as they then were) by slashing someone in the face -- in the pre-season. He seems to be restrained so far.

Other truly unpleasant characters include O'Brien of Vancouver, who isn't getting much ice time, and Montador in Anaheim. Because of Anaheim's slow start, Montador doesn't show up on the radar of many people, but you can expect Anaheim to lead the league in fighting majors.

Colin White is more of a foolish retaliator than an instigator, but that also gets the PIMs, and so far he has a decent number of PIMs, assists, and +/-. No Devils defenceman is at the top of anyone's fantasy rankings, however.

The Flyers' D is hurt and in trouble, but Coburn and Timonen should be reliable. Coburn will get PIMs and Timonen will get points on the power play. However, both will have problems with +/-.

Mike Van Ryn, currently in Toronto, put up reasonable numbers in Florida, an equally bad team, and is doing well so far this year.

Preissing was an astonishing fantasy surprise last year, finishing the year at +40 with the Senators, but is expected to be a healthy scratch in his next game.

This early in the season, it's difficult to predict who will be the best D. There's not much data. The most revealing stat, in my mind, is shots on goal

http://tinyurl.com/6qpc44

The list of leaders in shots on goal, I believe, is a good predictor for who will lead the league in offence.

The top four are: Phaneuf, Boyle, Blake, and Green. If they're available if your league, grab them now.

There's a surprise appearance by Beauchemin of Anaheim in this list. He's a risk. He's already scored three goals in nine games, but Anaheim's having a strange season. Take a gamble on him if you wish, but only if other options are not available.

Gainey's Idea Would Reduce Injuries

NHL to consider shot-blocking rules to increase offense?


The idea is to forbid players from sliding full length along the ice to block shots. I think that reducing blocked shots is a good idea because it injures players but Gainey just wants more goals in the NHL.

Don't Panic, Nabokov Owners

The bad news: he gave up six goals tonight, and he often has bad nights on the road in pairs. The good news: for the first time in memory, he gave up six goals and WON!

Expect a pair of shutouts next week

Mark Eaton: Surviving

This defensive defenseman, with a sad history of injury, is playing a key role for the Penguins now that Gonchar and Whitney are out. Don't pick him up on your fantasy team -- he's not going to score much -- but I'm glad to see he's healthy and hope he gets a chance to shine

Chicago: real or not?

Is Chicago a real deal or a work in progress? Huet was weak tonight, but he has a great defense and offense in front of him. The team should be able to win games -- but it has not yet done so.

Check out these players

Voros

Nylander

Keith

Vanek

...

and if, for any reason, Phaneuf is not owned in your league, take him immediately.

...

Keep an eye on

Hamrlik, Spacek, Rivet, and the entire Vancouver D.

Bernier, Setogouchi, Krejci, Tkachuk, Booth.

This is a very good list of players

Looking for a list of hockey players? Check out the draft in Yahoo's Friends and Family league:

http://hockey.fantasysports.yahoo.com/hockey/52090/draftresults?drafttab=team

And here's Q&A with Janet Eagleson, who got the number one pick.

Notes:

round 2: surprised Lundqvist went before turco and giggy, but that probably has a lot to do with injury fears and Lundqvist's number of SOs.

I believe that players should draft D early. Some experts did and others did not.

round 5: Nathan Horton and Pominville (round 4) finally getting the respect they deserve.

round 6: Bryan McCabe -- overrated? Underappreciated? Time will tell.

round 7: Huet will be a steal if the Hawks can convince Khabi to play in Russia this year. I picked him and I'm hoping that happens. Biron, I believe, is overrated. Stastny still doesn't get respect. A lot of goalies in this round. Goalies go in bunches, but not necessarily in any particular round.

round 8: IMO, Wade Redden's overrated. I expect Kronwall and Liles, for example, to do better.

round 12: I pick Ryan Clowe as sleeper -- if he can make the top line in SJ and also have a lot of PIMs.

Sami Salo underappreciated.

Jordan Staal's value rises as he gets time on the PK or PP. I hope he gets it.

round 13: I dropped Duncan Keith (I expect him to be the stay at home guy, and Campbell the power play quarterback) and kept Kuba, who has 2 assists in each of his first two appearances. I expect him to do very well. Pick him up if he is available.

round 14: Ray Whitney, if healthy, is the steal of this round.

round 15: I'm betting on Lupul, but that was a nasty injury last year. I'm also keeping an eye on Bernier -- everyone wants to know who will fit on the top line with the Sedin twins. So far, defencemen seem to be getting the extra points on Sedin goals.

round 16: Vermette delivers an interesting combination of PIMs and SHP.

Practice Drafts!

Now being offered by CBS. That's a freebie that got me to register, and almost any other giveaway would have left me cold.

They're here:

http://mockdraft.1.hockey.sportsline.com/

Do this a few times and you'll see that picking first is a huge advantage, even over picking second.

Also, a normal strategy is to go HERO, G G D D whereas I think this year it might be better to go HERO D D G G

Heroes: Ovechkin, Malkin, Crosby, Iginla, Datsuyk, Zetterberg, Thornton, Lecavalier

I would say top seven in points

http://sports.espn.go.com/nhl/statistics?stat=nhlscoring&sort=pts&season=2008&seasontype=2

unless your league puts a serious premium on goals, in which case

the top three or four are extremely important:

http://sports.espn.go.com/nhl/statistics?stat=nhlscoring&league=nhl&sort=goals&order=true&qual=true&season=2008&seasontype=2&pos=all

The top 11 defencemen are special and Phaneuf pays a special PIM dividend and DET defencement provide wonderful +/-

http://sports.espn.go.com/nhl/statistics?stat=nhlscoring&season=2008&seasontype=2&pos=d

The New Schedule

This is a step in the right direction. They felt they needed 82 games, so there are three "wild card games". That's wrong. They should have gone with 79 games. The players are injured as it is.

But if you're going to have "wild card games" why not play them all during week 1? Then they would matter less.

Better still would be 4 games vs conference teams (16) and two games vs other conference (30) and two games vs other teams in conference (20) = 66 games.

OR

1 game against each team in the other conference to start the season (15)

6 games against division opponents (24)

4 games against conference oppoenennts (40)

= 79 games

No need for the extra three! Give the boys a rest. And use the shoter schedule in Olympic years.

Changes in Phoenix and Tampa

Tampa has the most new players of any team -- 14! -- but that is overstating it, because some of those players are on a PHI - TAM rotation. CBS Sportsline has a great summary of moves, sorted by team, split between Eastern and Western Conference.

In the East

http://www.sportsline.com/nhl/transactions/playermove/EAST

Tampa stands out, but Prospal's been here before and Recchi and Roberts should fit right in. Little noticed: the team's collecting tough guys. First O'Brien, now Koci.

Strangest addition: Kolzig, unless they want him in the future as a goalie coach, giving Tampa their Godzillas of the future.


In the West, Phoenix is building, and will benefit from the pain in Anaheim of the loss of Selanne and in San Jose of the loss of some key Defense. But most of all, Phoenix will benefit from LA's decision to play for the top draft pick this year.

Biggest beneficiary -- Shane Doan, who gets to play with Jokinen and if that doesn't work out, will get to work with rookie Mueller who had 54 points in a surprise season on a bad team.

The big question mark for PHO is how will Dallas be this year.

Violence Wins Again

Whether it's Avery hitting Brodeur's head and slashing him in the face, or the takeout hit on Marleu, the NHL seems determined to allow blood on the ice and injuries to marquee players.

The blood has to stop and Campbell has to go.

Playoffs -- and injuries -- start tomorrow

Will Campbell allow players to harm each other? Alfredsson is out due to a head shot. End head shots now! And I don't even like Ottawa!

End Touch Up Icing Now

Europe doesn't use it. We don't need it. It slows games down and it's dangerous.

Fix Disciplinary Process!

Burnside is right. The process needs to be more open.

3 games for Laraque and 8 for Pronger mean they will do it again.

No more head shots!

And absolutely no skate blade stomping.

Glad I Didn't See This

For once, I'm glad the Sabres weren't televised. This is wrong. Laraque should be suspended.

Turned Off the Rangers Sabres Game

Avery should have gotten five for intent to injure. That was just sick. The NHL should be sued for promoting injuries and concussions.

Hooray for Rob Blake, Fight Stopper

From the AP:

Jack Johnson had injured Avalanche leader Ryan Smyth on a clean hit. Avalanche's fistfigher came over to him in response. Then the typical hockey narrative changed, thanks to the respect both teams have for Rob Blake, currently a leader of LA, former stanley cup winner in Colorado.

“The kid knew exactly where I was coming from,” Laperriere said. “He wanted to fight and Blake came right in there. I have so much respect for Blake. I knew he wasn’t going to punch me.”

So there it is: some of that respect that people are complaining doesn't exist in the game anymore.

Corruption in the NHL

Refs are biased in PHI's favor in tonight's Sabres game. There have been allegations of corruption for years. They must be investigated and the referees who rig the games need to be held accountable.

Boxscore notes, Feb 24, 2008

1) I'm glad to have Selanne! Five point night!

2) Panthers were slain by the Rangers. Is Jokinen really going to go?

3) J. Williams in action for Chicago, did well. Will he return to his point per game form?

4) How will Detroit survive the injuries to its top three defensemen?

5) Paul Martin is underrated. Oduya is improving fast.

6) What happened to Paul Stastny tonight? Was he a healthy scratch?

Boxscore notes, Feb 22, 2008

Sens top line fails to score -- second line, with Stillman on it, comes through. Why was Foote tossed at the end of the game? Vyborny might be available in CLB, but Federov and Zherdev should not be traded.

Tampa Bay shut out, third time this year -- second time by the Islanders.

Atlanta's still Kovalchuk, Hossa, and Kozlov -- and Recchi. Where's Enstrom?

Cullen's getting the ice time -- has he really recovered? He's not scoring. Staal stepping up nicely in place of Brind'Amour.

Cheechoo scores again, and so does Knuble -- and I bench Nabokov in his first win in a while.

Pittsburgh and Montreal -- would be a great postseason series.

STL 1 LA 5, full of surprises, such as the emergence of O'Sullivan, long touted. But the biggest surprise is one win for Cloutier. Don't add him to your fantasy team just yet.

Who is Willie Mitchell?

While preditable goal scorers like Dumont and Jagr and Kovalev made their mark tonight, some surprises hit the net as well.

In ice time, Willie Mitchell notched 27 minutes, ahead of Sami Salo and M. Ohlund.

For the Senators, Vermette had a goal, and assist, and another goal in the shootout.

Ryan Malone, a rising star, got two of PIT's three third period goals.

Speaking of comebacks -- MON came from 5-0 down to win it in overtime. Of course, it was against the flameout team, the Rangers, for whom a big lead is bad news.

In Toronto, a bunch of promising kids got the points, tho Sundin had one. Maybe the team could survive trading him and Blake? Coliacovo (second goal of the season) had more ice time than Blake.

More violence

The NHL claims to be selling players like Crosby, Ovechkin, and Thornton -- but they really seem to be selling Downie, Hollweg, and Laperriere.

The Laperriere hit on Lidstrom was clean . . . but I still did not enjoy seeing it.

The hit to the face of Filpula, on the other hand, was not.

Both plays were Intent To Injure and deserved five minutes.

Pacific Divison

While everyone's complaining about the weakness of the Southeast Division, I'd like to point out that the Pacific Division has astonishing strength.

Want to fix the problems? Realign the divisions and change the postseason:

NE: BOS, MON, BUF, OTT, WASH

Atlantic: PHI, PITT, NYI, NJD, NYR

South: CAR, FLA, TB, ATL, DAL

Central: NSH, CHI, CLB, DET, TOR

NW: MIN, STL, COL, CAL, EDM,

Pacific: VAN, LA, ANH, SJ, PHO

A key element here: every conference (except South) has at least one Canadian team. Also, DET and TOR get to play each other.


Everyone plays 4 games against own division (20 games) and 2 against everyone else (50 games) for 70 games.

End of season: league rankings. No Conferences, just Divisions.


Or: 3 Divisions, with league rankings making the postseason.

4 games against division (36 games) plus 2 aginst everyone else (40 games) for 76 games.


In either case, first month of the season is cross-divisional play. Last few weeks, as this year, are within the division.

Boxscore notes, Feb 14, 2008

Brodeur STOOD ON HIS HEAD. He's back to playoff peak performance. Great for him! Dropped Commodore for Robidas before the game and could have used Commodore's 5 PIMs. But otherwise, fantasy hockey misses value of players like Commodore. It's all about hits and blocked shots.

Don't know what happened to the Sabres today but I watched the game and I can tell you they played weak today. They were outmuscled by the Rangers. The opening play reminded me of the outdoor game when Crosby scored early. Today it was Jagr with the muscle and Avery with the finish.

Dustin Brown scored again for LA. They really should give up on Cloutier. He'll make a popular minor leaguer somewhere. La Barbera, OTOH, is quite good.

What's wrong with Atlanta? The Islanders do play well occasionally but 10 shots in one game is unforgivable. Hossa needs to be traded. Perhaps a pending trade situation with Campbell led to the blowout against the Rangers today? It would serve Sabres management right if they lost Campbell on the free agent market after failing to make the playoffs. And I'm a fan of the team (just not the management).

I'm a Devils fan first, however, and am thrilled by the recent performance of the whole defence corps. Martin is playing like an all-star, Oduya is playing well, and everyone else is doing what they're supposed to. Asham did extremely well today.

Please Defend the Goalies

There's too much interference. Someone's going to get hurt.

Robidas Replaces Zubov?

When I lost Zubov, I assumed that I needed to look to another team. I've currently got Commodore, recently traded from Carolina to Ottawa. But Robidas is tempting.

Players Who Performed Well When Their Teams Did Not

Last night:

Nasville: 1 Goal. Jason Arnott: 1 Goal

Pittsburgh: 3 Goals (in loss). Lupul 1 G 1 A.

Boxscore notes, Feb 13, 2008

New Jersey beat Ottawa tonight, as I'd hoped, but I expect Ottawa to have integrated the new pieces by Saturday and to crush NJ then. That would be a good time for NJ to play Weekes (poor Kevin). Did Heatley and Alfredsson come back too early?

Lang and the Blackhawk defense show up and trounce Columbus and poor Leclaire got pulled. Hainsey fought Ruutuu (The Dirty Finn -- all the other Finns play clean). Yay Hainsey. Kane scored. Should I pick up Dustin Byf? Too many shots in the loss to Edmonton.

Buffalo beat Toronto 1-0 in spite of being outshot 35 to 20. Sabres need to do better. My guess is that Connolly should have rested and Stafford should have played. If Paetsch can play, he deserves at least a few minutes. This was supposed to be an easy game for Buffalo, but this is hockey and no game is easy. Buffalo's now in seventh place -- I hope they don't meet NJD in the first round of the playoffs -- Carolina would be an ironic opponent, Ottawa the most hated.

Carey Price is back!!! And another win for him. I'm thrilled I have Kovalev.

Poor Conklin. Looks like he played well and the Penguins let him down. Malkin, of course, got the only goal. Tim Thomas continues an astonishing season, but can Boston make the playoffs -- and if they do, will Chara? Because of Chara, a BOS-OTT round 1 matchup would also be interesting.

VISORS NOW!!!!!

After the Zednik incident, some are calling for neck guards for all NHL players -- and maybe they should have neck guards -- but they should definitely have visors.

UPON FURTHER REVIEW: The other timeless protection debate

Yes, Freak accidents are unavoidable in NHL, but they would be less harmful if players were protected. The correct attitude to quadriplegic youth hockey players is not complacency. Action is needed.

Bettman and Campbell should learn from this incident, but history shows they won't change anything. After all, injuries give the NHL press coverage, and that's more important than a player's life and future health.

Lehtinen

Lehtinen is one of my favorite players and he's back and clicking with Modano. . . if I were looking for points, I'd pick him up, but I'm not looking, so no action.

Commodore

Dropped Timonen for Commodore.

So whom should I drop to make room for Stastny? I'll keep him on IR for a bit.

ELIAS

Picked up Patrick Elias. He has 32 points in 48 games. He has 10 points in the last 6 games and 22 points in the precending 42 games.

What happened? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

I'm going with it.